← World Cup 2026

FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3Thursday, 25 June 2026 at 23:00Arrowhead Stadium

Tunisia
Elo Rating: 1710
VS

Netherlands
Elo Rating: 1905
Win Probability
20%
Home Win
17%
Draw
63%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM
Key Factors
- 1Significant Elo advantage for Netherlands (+195 pts)
- 2Netherlands is a top-10 ranked nation
- 3Limited H2H history between these sides
- 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage
Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions
This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.
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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.