Uruguay

Elo Rating: 1870

Spain

Elo Rating: 1965

Win Probability

22%

Home Win

19%

Draw

59%

Away Win

Predicted: Away Win

Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

1Moderate Elo edge for Spain (+95 pts)
2Spain is a top-10 ranked nation
3H2H record over 1 historical meetings analysed
4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 1 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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