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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Saturday, 13 June 2026 at 01:00SoFi Stadium
USA

USA

Elo Rating: 1600
VS
Paraguay

Paraguay

Elo Rating: 1700
Win Probability
37%
Home Win
19%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Paraguay (+100 pts)
  • 2H2H record over 3 historical meetings analysed
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 3 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.