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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Thursday, 18 June 2026 at 02:00Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

Elo Rating: 1690
VS
Colombia

Colombia

Elo Rating: 1855
Win Probability
23%
Home Win
17%
Draw
60%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for Colombia (+165 pts)
  • 2Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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