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Serie A · ItalyMEDIUM

Monday, 18 May 2026 · 18:45

AS Roma vs Lazio — Monday, 18 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

AS Roma logo

AS Roma

WWWDW

18:45

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio logo

Lazio

LWDWL
45%27%28%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:45%

AI Reasoning

# AS Roma vs Lazio: Statistical Analysis The model assigns Roma a 45% win probability primarily because Lazio's recent away shots on target per match and their expected goals against over five matches are working against them, creating an away disadvantage that favors the home team. However, Roma's relatively high shots conceded per match as the home side tempers their advantage, which is why the win probability remains modest and the draw probability (27%) is elevated compared to typical home favorites.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG против гостей (5 матчей)

Away

Пропущено ударов хозяевами / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.44
AS
1.36
Lazio

Possession

53%53%
ASLazio

Shots on Target

28
AS
24
Lazio

Head to Head

7 matches

3

AS

2

Draws

2

Lazio

Injury Report

AS Roma

Injured6

Lazio

Injured6

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